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NewsJanuary 16, 2017

DETROIT -- This year's North American International Auto Show reflects an industry flush with cash but uncertain about the future. Multimillion-dollar displays show new versions of big sellers such as the Toyota Camry, GMC Terrain and Honda Odyssey. ...

By DEE-ANN DURBIN ~ Associated Press
The Volkswagen ID Buzz all-electric concept van is displayed Jan. 9 at the North American International Auto Show in Detroit. The prototype is based on Volkswagen's iconic 1960s minibus.
The Volkswagen ID Buzz all-electric concept van is displayed Jan. 9 at the North American International Auto Show in Detroit. The prototype is based on Volkswagen's iconic 1960s minibus.Tony Ding ~ Associated Press

DETROIT -- This year's North American International Auto Show reflects an industry flush with cash but uncertain about the future.

Multimillion-dollar displays show new versions of big sellers such as the Toyota Camry, GMC Terrain and Honda Odyssey. New technology, from gesture controls in BMWs to further advances in self-driving cars, is everywhere. Auto companies are making big promises, such as Chinese automaker GAC's plan to sell a vehicle in the U.S. by the end of 2019 and Volvo's goal of preventing all fatal crashes in its vehicles by 2020.

But there could be bumps ahead. U.S. sales are leveling, and the Trump administration could change the rules on trade. And it's not clear which companies will be the winners in a future of car-sharing and self-driving.

"The ground is so unstable beneath them right now," said Karl Brauer, a senior director of content at Kelley Blue Book.

Plateauing sales

John Krafcik, CEO of Waymo, the autonomous vehicle company created by Google's parent company, Alphabet, introduces a Chrysler Pacifica hybrid outfitted with Waymo's own suite of sensors and radar Jan. 8 at the North American International Auto Show in Detroit.
John Krafcik, CEO of Waymo, the autonomous vehicle company created by Google's parent company, Alphabet, introduces a Chrysler Pacifica hybrid outfitted with Waymo's own suite of sensors and radar Jan. 8 at the North American International Auto Show in Detroit.Paul Sancya ~ Associated Press

After an unprecedented seven-year streak of sales increases and record sales of 17.55 million in 2016, U.S. sales of new cars and trucks are expected to slow down slightly in 2017.

Interest rates and car prices are rising. A glut of used cars will put pressure on new-car sales. Automakers are cutting production of cars to lower inventories, but they're counting on new vehicles, gadgets and must-have technology, such as Apple CarPlay and backup cameras, to fuel demand.

At the auto show, BMW showed off a 5 Series with gesture controls, which let drivers control volume and other functions with hand signals. Lexus' new LS sedan has seats that give occupants Shiatsu massages. And multiple automakers are introducing new vehicles that will brake automatically to avoid an accident.

Trump effect

President-elect Donald Trump and his Twitter threats to tax Mexican auto imports were the talk of the show. Automakers reacted in different ways.

General Motors, Volkswagen and Nissan said they won't change production plans. Toyota warned the price of a U.S.-built Camry could rise by $1,000 if Trump taxes auto parts from Mexico.

Sergio Marchionne, CEO of Fiat Chrysler, said FCA might be forced to abandon Mexico if the tax is too punitive, but he's waiting for more details.

"This is new territory for most of us. None of us has had a tweeting president before," he said.

But AutoNation CEO Mike Jackson said Trump could help the industry by easing expensive regulations and lowering corporate taxes. He also thinks Trump will tread carefully with border taxes.

"He will be a failure if he hurts consumers or companies," Jackson said.

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Tech tussle

The auto show isn't just for carmakers. Waymo, Google's self-driving car division, reiterated it doesn't plan to make its own cars but wants to partner with established auto companies and others.

Waymo announced the development of an in-house system of sensors and radar and showed off a self-driving minivan it has developed with Fiat Chrysler.

Fiat Chrysler CEO Sergio Marchionne said it makes sense for smaller companies to hook up with Waymo instead of developing their own self-driving platforms.

"I have no intention of recreating Silicon Valley in Michigan," he said.

But other automakers, including Nissan and Ford, insist they will go it alone, partly because they don't want Waymo to own the customer data that can be collected from self-driving vehicles.

"We don't believe all the change coming to the market is going to be a private garden for anybody," said Nissan CEO Carlos Ghosn.

Mobility moves

Automakers aren't just developing self-driving cars; they're trying to figure out where they fit in a world of car-sharing and ride-hailing.

Ford said it's working with former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg and others to help cities plan for future transportation trends.

Nissan has joined a similar group, 100 Resilient Cities, to help city planning. Volvo is signing up 100 families in Sweden and giving them self-driving cars to see how they use them in daily life.

China's coming

Volvo and Buick are selling Chinese-built vehicles in the U.S. But so far, no Chinese automaker has managed to crack the U.S. market, where tough safety regulations and dealer franchise laws can be a barrier for newcomers.

Guangzhou Automobile Group hopes to change that. GAC unveiled three new vehicles at the auto show, including a plug-in hybrid, and said it plans to sell a five-passenger SUV in the U.S. by 2019. The GX7 SUV would have a starting price of $15,000, or about $10,000 less than the Toyota RAV4.

Nostalgia factor

Automakers are tugging at buyers' heartstrings.

Volkswagen is showing a prototype based on its iconic 1960s minibus. Dubbed the ID Buzz, it's an electric van that goes 270 miles on a charge.

Ford announced the return of the Bronco, the rugged SUV, which last was sold in 1996.

And Jeep is bringing back its Wagoneer, the three-row, wood-sided classic that was discontinued in 1991.

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