We got lucky this morning as Winter Storm "ELO" only dropped Plain Old Uneventful Rain at Cape Girardeau without any ice. The National Weather Service issued a Winter Weather Advisory at 9 AM for the chance of light freezing rain or drizzle, but by then the temperature at Cape had warmed enough that we were able to avoid all that.
Our next system, Winter Storm "Fleetwood Mac", is poised to deliver a quality snowfall Wednesday night and Thursday. This storm looks stronger overall than the previous systems that have only dropped an inch or less of accumulation at Cape.
The computer models have been pretty consistent about the storm, a rare sight indeed. We're in line for 2-3 inches, with higher amounts to the north. The GFS model paints 2 or 3 inches over Cape County:
We have an 80% chance of getting at least one inch:
The probability of getting at least 2 inches is still a healthy 60%, while the chance of getting 4 inches drops to 30%. That's about the most we can realistically expect, as the odds of a 6 inch snowfall are only about 1%. Nevertheless, these are the highest odds of any storm so far this season.
Fingers crossed, this should be an all-snow event without any chance of ice or sleet.