[SeMissourian.com] Fair ~ 87°F  
River stage: 32.34 ft. Falling
Friday, July 31, 2015
Oh look, we now have an Excessive Heat Warning
Posted Monday, July 27, at 3:46 PM
The National Weather Service has officially confirmed what is obvious by stepping outside: it's ridiculously humid outside. We're now under an Excessive Heat Warning -- worse than a Heat Advisory -- for the rest of this afternoon and Tuesday. As I write this, the temperature at the Cape Girardeau airport is 92°F, which wouldn't be so bad except that the humidity is an oppressive 68%, yielding a heat index of 111. Tomorrow afternoon could bring even higher numbers...

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The river is going to take its sweet time in dropping
Posted Thursday, July 9, at 5:21 PM

The Mississippi River at Cape Girardeau has finally receded below "major" flood stage (42 feet), but it's going to be awhile before it drops completely below flood stage. Indeed, the river is now forecast to start rising slightly over the weekend...

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River forecast drops slightly, but rain forecast increases
Posted Monday, June 29, at 3:40 PM

Good news: The latest river stage for Cape Girardeau now shows a slightly lower crest of 43.5 ft. on Thursday. Bad news: We're in store for more heavy rain, with the 7-day projections painting us in the red zone for 4 inches. The best chances of rain are Wednesday through Friday, but every day through at least next Monday has some kind of chance. Here's the current breakdown:...

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The river forecast is not looking good
Posted Friday, June 26, at 2:07 PM

Although the Mississippi River is slowly dropping right now, that trend isn't going to last. Recent heavy rains to our north are poised to push the river even higher than before. The latest forecast now shows the river slowly rising again, cresting near 44 feet at Cape Girardeau next Thursday...

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Cooler weather coming -- and more rain
Posted Tuesday, June 23, at 10:29 AM

The hot weather should only last 3 more days, then a pattern shift is poised to bring a cooler airmass. The 6-10 Day Outlook is forecasting a high probability of below-average temperatures for next week. Longer range forecasts -- for what they are worth -- are also leaning toward below-average temperatures for the rest of the summer...

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Get ready for the swamp in Swampeast Missouri
Posted Thursday, June 18, at 4:15 PM

The remants of Tropical Storm Bill should bring heavy rain Friday into Saturday morning, prompting a Flash Flood Watch. The current forecast calls for widespread 2-4 inch totals in Southeast Missouri. This, of course, will only push the Mississippi River even higher. Every time I check the crest forecast, it goes up. Right now the river at Cape is expected to crest Tuesday morning near 44.5 feet. If this happens, it would be only 4 feet shy of the all-time record of 48.49 set during 1993...

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Such pretty colors on the rainfall map
Posted Monday, June 15, at 5:29 PM

A tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico is expected to bring very heavy rain to portions of Texas before heading toward Missouri. Just lovely. The 7-day rainfall projection is showing a large area of red (3+ inches) through Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, and into Ohio...

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Another round of thunderstorms and heavy rain coming
Posted Tuesday, March 31, at 3:00 PM

March is going out like a lamb -- unlike the lion that brought snow during the first week of the month. Our next weathermaker is poised to bring thunderstorms Thursday evening. We're under a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms for Thursday, with high winds and large hail the biggest threats...

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Everything is on the table again... even snow
Posted Tuesday, March 24, at 5:05 PM

Another round of active weather this week could bring severe thunderstorms, heavy rain, freezing temperatures, and even a dusting of wet snow. First, the storms. The Storm Prediction Center outlook for tomorrow places us in a Slight Risk zone for severe thunderstorms, something we haven't seen in quite some time. Large hail and high winds are the biggest threat, especially late Wednesday evening...

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Meet the new snowpack, same as the old snowpack
Posted Tuesday, March 3, at 4:25 PM

We're now under a Winter Storm Warning as the official forecast for Cape Girardeau calls for 6-8 inches of accumulation Wednesday into Wednesday night. The computer models have been struggling with this system -- just as they seem to struggle with every winter storm. The biggest hiccup is the possibility that a layer of warm air aloft could yield sleet instead of snow for a portion of the day Wednesday, which would reduce total accumulation amounts...

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Spring is in view, but first...
Posted Monday, March 2, at 4:01 PM

The good news is that we should see a major pattern shift next week, allowing much warmer air to arrive. For the first time in weeks, the extended 8-14 Day Outlook is projecting above-average temperatures for much of the country. Now for the bad news -- or good news if you like snow storms. ...

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Everything is on the table
Posted Friday, February 27, at 5:36 PM

Just about every kind of weather phenomena is in the forecast for the next week. We've got snow, sleet, freezing rain, heavy rain, thunderstorms, wind gusts, subtropical air, and Arctic air on the way. Take a few minutes to digest the official forecast for Cape Girardeau:...

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More crazy weather on the way
Posted Tuesday, February 24, at 5:02 PM

Although we will likely climb above freezing Wednesday afternoon for a short time, our snowpack will be sticking around for a few more days at least. Warmer weather is on the horizon, but "warmer" is a relative term. Our next big storm -- arriving late in the weekend -- will bring milder air, but it could still be cold enough for a wintry mix. Temperatures during the day Sunday and Monday should be well above freezing (low 40s) but the lows at night could put us in the snow zone...

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Here comes another Winter Storm Watch
Posted Thursday, February 19, at 3:35 PM

Our next weathermaker is poised to bring a delightful stew of snow, sleet, freezing rain, and then liquid rain. The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Friday afternoon through late Friday night. The text of their bulletin states:...

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I hope you like snow
Posted Sunday, February 15, at 7:02 AM

If you like snow, you can thank me now. I'm out of town this weekend, which means I'm not around to jinx this impending snowstorm. Of course, if you don't like big snowfalls, well.... you're not going to be happy this week. The current forecast is painting 7-10 inches of accumulation at Cape Girardeau. Naturally this could - and likely will - change. We actually have an outside chance for an epic 18 or even 24 inch total, but I'm skeptical at this point...

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It's too early to get excited
Posted Wednesday, February 11, at 5:32 PM

As we've seen this winter season, forecasting any kind of snowstorm in advance can lead to serious disappointment (if you like snow). The computer models, especially several days out, are very prone to flip-flopping. Indeed, for us, they've been mostly flopping...

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I'm not holding my breath
Posted Wednesday, January 21, at 3:33 PM

I've been seeing some chatter about a chance of snow Friday, but right now it appears this system is going to miss Cape Girardeau to the south. The official forecast for Cape only mentions a tiny 20% chance of snow Friday. In their afternoon discussion, the forecasters at the National Weather Service in Paducah explained:...

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Light snow possible, then warmer weather on the way
Posted Wednesday, January 14, at 9:38 AM

A weak system could bring a narrow band of snow tonight as it zips past. Yesterday, the computer models weren't showing much, but they've been trending stronger with this system, and now even suggest that minor accumulations are possible. The exact location of the snow band varies between computer model runs, so it could miss Cape to the north or south. ...

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Cruel weather ahead, but the end is already in sight
Posted Monday, January 5, at 5:49 PM

To those people who complained about the cloudy weather in December: be careful what you wish for. Now we have plenty of sunshine, but thanks to an invading Arctic airmass, it's still not much fun outside. Mother Nature can be so cruel. After a faint warm-up tomorrow (we might get above freezing!), a reinforcing chunk of cold air will arrive Wednesday...

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Normal temperatures coming soon
Posted Tuesday, November 18, at 5:54 PM

Our ridiculous Arctic blast yielded a low temperature of 8F Monday night at the Cape Girardeau airport, shattering the old record of 17F set in 2000. Indeed, this tied the lowest temperature for any date in November, a record last set on Nov. 29, 1976...

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In this blog, weather junkies on the Southeast Missourian staff talk about (what else?) the weather. Give us your observations, folk wisdom and Farmers Almanac tales -- it's a weather free for all.
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