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NewsOctober 9, 2018

ANKARA, Turkey -- A week after dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi entered Saudi Arabia's consulate in Istanbul for some routine paperwork, the mystery over his disappearance remains unresolved: Turkish officials allege he was killed in the compound; the Saudis say he left the building unharmed...

Associated Press

ANKARA, Turkey -- A week after dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi entered Saudi Arabia's consulate in Istanbul for some routine paperwork, the mystery over his disappearance remains unresolved: Turkish officials allege he was killed in the compound; the Saudis say he left the building unharmed.

The case has alarmed human rights activists concerned over Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's crackdown on dissent and strained already-tense relations between Turkey and Saudi Arabia.

The United States and other Saudi allies have taken a cautious approach toward Khashoggi's disappearance, refraining from any strong comments against the oil-rich kingdom.

The 59-year-old contributor to the Washington Post spent last year in the U.S. in self-imposed exile after he fled Saudi Arabia amid a crackdown on intellectuals and activists who criticized the policies of Prince Mohammed. He was last seen by his fiancee, Hatice Cengiz, entering the consulate to obtain a document needed for their marriage. She and Turkish officials say he never emerged, even though Saudi Arabia insists he left the building.

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Monday urged the Saudis to back up their claim Khashoggi left the consulate.

"Now when this person enters, whose duty is it to prove that he left or not? It is (the duty) of the consulate officials," Erdogan said during a visit to Hungary. "Don't you have cameras and other things? Why don't you prove it, you have to prove it."

Turkish officials have said the authorities believe Khashoggi was most likely slain inside the consulate building and his body was later removed from the premises, though they haven't provided any evidence.

Turkey's state-run news agency, quoting police, has said 15 Saudi nationals arrived in Istanbul on board two planes and were inside the consulate building when Khashoggi disappeared. The private DHA agency said the planes, which it identified as a two Gulfstream jets belonging to a Riyadh-based company hiring private aircraft, landed at Istanbul's Ataturk Airport on the day Khashoggi vanished.

"With these departures and arrivals there were certain people who came from Saudi Arabia," Erdogan said. "Our relevant agencies, our security forces, our intelligence agency, all of them, the foreign ministry -- 'work together' and we'll see the reports that our prosecutors prepare."

Turkey summoned the Saudi ambassador Sunday to request the kingdom's "full cooperation" in the investigation, a Foreign Ministry official said. The Turkish private NTV television said Ankara asked for permission for its investigators to search the consulate building, but a Foreign Ministry official would not confirm the report.

Ties between Ankara and Riyadh are at a low point over Turkey's support for Qatar last year in its dispute with Saudi Arabia and other Gulf nations. Turkey sent food to Qatar and deployed troops at its military base there. Saudi Arabia is also annoyed by Ankara's rapprochement with its archrival, Iran.

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"Turkey is maintaining a very delicate balance in its relations with Saudi Arabia. The relations have the potential of evolving into a crisis at any moment," said Ozgur Unluhisarcikli, director of the German Marshall Fund's Ankara office.

He expected a measured response from Turkey, which is suffering a currency crisis and would be reluctant to chase away investment from Saudi Arabia or other Gulf states. Ankara would likely wait and see what Washington's reaction to the disappearance would be, before initiating any action against Saudi Arabia, Unluhisarcikli added.

The U.S. so far has said very little. Prince Mohammed has ties to Jared Kushner, the son-in-law to President Donald Trump, who visited Saudi Arabia on his first overseas trip. However, ties have been strained by Trump's recent comments implying Saudi Arabia wouldn't last "two weeks" without U.S. guaranteeing its safety as global oil prices continue to rise.

Saudi Arabia long has faced allegations of capturing and sending rambunctious royals and dissidents back to the country by private jet. Last year, the kingdom even brought Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri to Riyadh, where he suddenly resigned in a TV broadcast, only to return to Beirut and renounce his resignation, raising speculation he was forced to do so.

Many initially believed the same fate befell Khashoggi -- until Turkish officials began anonymously telling journalists the writer had been killed at the consulate. Saudi Arabia has denied the allegations as "baseless," but unlike in the Hariri incident, Khashoggi has not appeared on state television or Saudi-owned satellite networks since Turkey began expressing its fears he was dead.

While in the U.S., Khashoggi began writing columns for the Washington Post. That was in part due to the atmosphere surrounding the rise of 33-year-old Prince Mohammed, next in line to the throne now held by his 82-year-old father, King Salman. Although there have been some reforms, such as allowing women to start driving cars, Prince Mohammed's reign has seen businessmen, royals, activists and others rounded up and arrested.

Still, killing someone such as Khashoggi, who long had ties to the royal family and the Saudi intelligence apparatus, in a consulate would be a major escalation in the prince's rise.

"I think the Saudis may have crossed the line. It puts the U.S. in a corner -- will it defend its ally or will it stand up for human rights and free speech and free journalism?" said Yoel Guzansky, a senior researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies, a top Israeli think tank, and a former adviser to the Israeli prime minister on Iran and Gulf affairs.

Sultan al-Saad al-Qahtani, the editor of the Riyadh Post website and a supporter of the crown prince, called it "a Hollywood movie scenario."

"There is no country that kills opponents of its policy inside an official building in a foreign country," he said. "The responsibility of preserving Mr. Khashoggi's life rests with the Turkish government."

Lynn Maalouf, Middle East Research Director for Amnesty International, said if the reports of Khashoggi's death are true, this "would be taking yet to another level the continuing crackdown on any form of dissent that's been going on in Saudi Arabia over the past year."

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