WASHINGTON -- Faced with a delay, health officials are trying to counter problems with swine flu vaccine production including a logjam at factories that fill the syringes.
The newest calculations show the nation won't have the expected 120 million doses ready to dispense by Oct. 15, but 45 million instead. It appears to be more of a delay than a shortage: More are expected to arrive, with about 20 million doses shipped every week, according to estimates by the Department of Health and Human Services.
"Hopefully there are ways to bring that number up," Dr. Robin Robinson, the department's chief of vaccine procurement, said Tuesday.
"We're trying to bring on more manufacturing" for the final packaging step, he said, such as having companies that finish first share their facilities with stragglers.
Swine flu vaccinations still are planned for mid-October, and Robinson said 45 million doses means a lot of people inoculated. Add in the weekly deliveries, and there should be 85 million doses on hand by October's end, and the full 195 million the government has ordered by December, the date for final delivery.
But he acknowledged that early outbreaks in September and October could lead to high demand for the swine flu vaccine.
Manufacturers revealed in July that they were having problems with the vaccine. The chief component is grown in eggs, and companies were getting fewer doses per egg than they usually do for the regular flu vaccine.
Health authorities have delivered new "seed strains" of the virus to manufacturers to help with that problem, Robinson said.
In addition to the packaging logjam, other factors are adding to the delay, including:
-- One manufacturer, Sanofi-Pasteur, took longer than expected to finish brewing the regular winter flu vaccine, delaying the swine flu work, Robinson said. "We knew there were problems," but only recently the extent of them, he said.
-- Another supplier, Australia's CSL, recently notified the U.S. that its shipments would arrive later than promised because it first must provide batches to its home country, where the flu season is winding down. Although the U.S. signed a contract with CSL first, "there was always the possibility they could do that," Robinson said. "Our laws can do the same thing. We don't, but we could."
-- And it took health authorities longer than anticipated to develop the tests, called reagents, required to ensure doses are at the proper strength before they're cleared for use.
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