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In this blog, weather junkies on the Southeast Missourian staff talk about (what else?) the weather. Give us your observations, folk wisdom and Farmers Almanac tales -- it's a weather free for all.
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The next storm looks more promising

Posted Monday, January 17, 2011, at 3:58 PM

We got lucky this morning as Winter Storm "ELO" only dropped Plain Old Uneventful Rain at Cape Girardeau without any ice. The National Weather Service issued a Winter Weather Advisory at 9 AM for the chance of light freezing rain or drizzle, but by then the temperature at Cape had warmed enough that we were able to avoid all that.

Our next system, Winter Storm "Fleetwood Mac", is poised to deliver a quality snowfall Wednesday night and Thursday. This storm looks stronger overall than the previous systems that have only dropped an inch or less of accumulation at Cape.

The computer models have been pretty consistent about the storm, a rare sight indeed. We're in line for 2-3 inches, with higher amounts to the north. The GFS model paints 2 or 3 inches over Cape County:

We have an 80% chance of getting at least one inch:

The probability of getting at least 2 inches is still a healthy 60%, while the chance of getting 4 inches drops to 30%. That's about the most we can realistically expect, as the odds of a 6 inch snowfall are only about 1%. Nevertheless, these are the highest odds of any storm so far this season.

Fingers crossed, this should be an all-snow event without any chance of ice or sleet.

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  • We're still on track for 2-3 inches of snow Thursday. The weather service has just issued a Winter Weather Advisory for 6 AM to 6 PM Thursday.

    The computer models are also hinting at another system early next week. It will be slightly warmer, so this might be a rain-changing-to-snow kind of deal.

    -- Posted by James Baughn on Tue, Jan 18, 2011, at 4:09 PM

  • No dartboard forecaster?

    -- Posted by mynameismud on Tue, Jan 18, 2011, at 7:31 PM

  • Bring it on...☻

    -- Posted by Turnip on Wed, Jan 19, 2011, at 2:15 PM

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