*
Weather or Not

Winter Storm Watch issued: Maybe 4 inches?

Posted Tuesday, January 26, 2010, at 4:49 PM

Comments

View 7 comments or respond
Community discussion is important, and we encourage you to participate as a reader and commenter. Click here to see our Guidelines. We also encourage registered users to let us know if they see something inappropriate on our site. You can do that by clicking "Report Comment" below.
  • "Armchair weather guesser"?? This report is hilarious! Love the labels: To the north - "squat"? "Non-patent-pending Wild Guessing Random Doodle Technology(tm)"??

    I swear, James, you can make even a weather report interesting!

    This is a cross between Don McNeeley and Jay Leno!

    -- Posted by goat lady on Tue, Jan 26, 2010, at 8:22 PM
  • Bring it on! ☻

    -- Posted by Turnip on Tue, Jan 26, 2010, at 9:33 PM
  • gl, I had a friend (now deceased) that picked horses the same way. Called himself 'swagman', scientific wild a** guess, and he was very good at this. Stay aware, heading home to Mo soon.

    -- Posted by Dexterite1 on Wed, Jan 27, 2010, at 6:56 AM
  • Looking at the weather charts this morning, everything is still set for a quality snowfall. The computer models haven't flip-flopped any. It looks like the storm may track slightly more to the north, so the map should be updated to put all of Cape County within the "Decent snow" (4+ inch) area -- and within spitting distance of the "Big snow" (6+ area) area. There's an outside chance that we could get 8-12 inches, but several things will have to come together perfectly for that to happen.

    -- Posted by James Baughn on Wed, Jan 27, 2010, at 9:33 AM
  • I agree with James Baughn here. and once the system comes onshore and gets sampled by our upper air network, even more confidence in teh storm path should occur. One thing to note, the models have been very consistent with the northward trend with each model run, then just before the event, a slight southward adjustment. I have no reason to expect anything different here. I also believe the "jet stream" dynamics are not handled well by the computer models, and are underestimating the northward extent of the precipitation shield - for those of you in northern jefferson county and southern st. Louis county.

    -- Posted by Beaker on Wed, Jan 27, 2010, at 10:11 AM
  • Cape Girardeau: 4 to 6 inches. St. Louis: an inch or so.

    -- Posted by Beaker on Wed, Jan 27, 2010, at 10:13 AM
  • The St. Louis discussion from this morning goes into detail about the favorable jet coupling that could draw the snow northward. I'm a little fuzzy on some of the jargon but you can read it here:

    http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KLSX/1001271106.fxus63.html

    For what it's worth, Accuweather is more bullish about accumulation totals, painting Cape squarely within a 6-12 inch region:

    http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&zipChg=...

    -- Posted by James Baughn on Wed, Jan 27, 2010, at 10:25 AM