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Monday, July 28, 2014

Southeast Missouri moves into worst category of drought

Friday, July 27, 2012

(Photo)
Drought has already affected area crops and livestock, and conditions are expected to get worse before they get better.

Southeast Missouri, including Scott and Stoddard counties, nearly all of Cape Girardeau County, most of Bollinger County and a small part of Perry County, are now in the most pronounced type of drought, according to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor map released Thursday. Those areas are in the "exceptional" drought category.

Thursday's report showed the drought's intensity is rapidly increasing, with 20 percent of the nation now in the two worst stages of drought -- up 7 percent from last week.

The National Climatic Data Center considers drought conditions throughout Missouri as "severe" or worse, with more than two-thirds considered "extreme." Just over 8 percent, including local areas, is categorized as "exceptional."

According to the National Weather Service, no Southeast Missouri county has had more than Butler County's 4.78 inches of rain in the past four weeks. Weather service meteorologist Robin Smith said there are no short-term changes coming, with the three-month outlook showing above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation.

"Unless some precipitation comes through, you can expect this to last through October," Smith said. "There just isn't any clear-cut relief in sight."

Some storms did come roll through Southeast Missouri late Thursday. As of 5 p.m., Cape Girardeau received 0.14 inches; however, the National Weather Service rain gauge was down after that.

(Photo)
Lawson Burgfeld shows the dried fescue in the field he keeps several heads of cattle Thursday, July 26, 2012 in Fruitland.
(Laura Simon)
The drought has caused farmers to find ways to lessen the financial blow, including heavy irrigation. Still, USDA statistics say 61 percent of the corn crop and 58 percent of soybean crop conditions in Southeast Missouri are rated "poor" to "very poor."

River levels are also extremely low. At Cape Girardeau the Mississippi River stood at 9.53 feet Thursday afternoon, about 10 feet above the record low. The river at Memphis is more than 13 feet below normal, and shipping is constrained on the river's lower portion.

Some are labeling this the worst drought they've ever experienced.

"The last time I can remember it being this bad was in 1954. It's looking pretty bleak, to be honest," said Lawson Burgfeld, a Jackson livestock producer. "We had no real spring, and now we have dried-up pastures along with a hay shortage. And that, combined with high corn and grain prices, is giving folks two choices: Spend a lot of money on feed or sell off our cattle."

Mike Geske, a Stoddard County farmer who is on the National Corn Growers Association board, said there have been other droughts in past years that caused difficulty, but never so widespread.

"This is coming down hard on all of us in the agricultural business. We won't know really how bad it's been until harvest, but it's safe to say it won't be pretty," Geske said. "It's having a psychological effect on farmers, too. It's heartbreaking to work all year, only to watch as your crops are destroyed by drought."

Help could be on the way for livestock producers in the form of Rep. Jo Ann Emerson's Emergency Livestock Relief bill. The proposed legislation, introduced in the House of Representatives on Wednesday, aims to renew and expand eligibility for the Livestock Forage Disaster, Livestock Indemnity and Emergency Livestock Assistance programs. Emerson said in a news release announcing the bill that the programs are to address grazing losses and livestock deaths due to drought, as well as losses to producers not covered by other disaster programs.

There is no timetable for passing the legislation, as it still needs a vote of the full House. A similar measure in the Senate, the Wildfire and Drought Relief for Ranchers and Farmers Act, would reauthorize the Emergency Assistance for Livestock, Honeybees, and Farm-Raised Fish Program; the Livestock Forage Disaster Program; and the Livestock Indemnity Program.

Sen. Claire McCaskill put out a news release Thursday saying she supports the legislation. McCaskill also has set up a drought assistance resource on her website, www.mccaskill.senate.gov.

Burgfeld said he thinks the drought's biggest side effects will be felt starting later this year.

"The consumers are really going to feel the cost of drought at the grocery store come winter. We buy so many things that use corn and grain, and small harvests are going to cause costs to skyrocket," Burgfeld said. "One thing I think is being overlooked here is cattle conception rates. They just don't breed in this heat, and in a few months we will probably have alarmingly low numbers of calves being born. That will be tough on the beef market."

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

jsamons@semissourian.com

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It's fun reading a story about drought while it rains outside... hopefully we'll start getting caught up on that water deficit.

-- Posted by micahmcdowell on Thu, Jul 26, 2012, at 6:52 PM

"At Cape Girardeau the Mississippi River stood at 9.53 feet Thursday afternoon, about 10 feet above the record low."

So the record low is a negative? I'm guessing the way it's measured has changed? An explanation of that one would be appreciated.

-- Posted by Professor_Bubba on Fri, Jul 27, 2012, at 9:17 AM

Bubba best it was explained to me was that measurement is not feet deep. I remember a few years ago it was down to like 5 feet. You still could not walk across it. I'm guessing its an elevation reading. Maybe someone else can explain it better.

-- Posted by Mowrangler on Fri, Jul 27, 2012, at 10:38 AM

Bubba:

This article from a couple of weeks ago has the explanation:

http://www.semissourian.com/story/187266...

-- Posted by Matt Sanders on Fri, Jul 27, 2012, at 11:13 AM

A reading of "0" on a river gauge is an arbitrary number...it does not indicate zero feet, it's essentially a starting point for measurements. Currently there are several places on the Lower Mississippi that have negative gauge reading. They don't correspond at all to actual depths of water.

-- Posted by FarmBoy06 on Fri, Jul 27, 2012, at 12:47 PM

From http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lmrfc/?n=frequen... - "River stages are calculated from an arbitrary "gage zero" point. The reason that we get negative levels is because these "gage zero" points were established decades ago and over time the river has shifted and scoured. The reason that this is not adjusted is because the people that live around the river are familiar with the flood stage and how the current stage compares to it. It takes a vast amount of planning and education in order to change a "gage zero" which would also change the flood stage.

Also, all "gage zero" points are independent of each other. For example, you may see a stage of -6.7 feet upstream of a 13.5 feet stage even though the river is higher at the upstream point when compared to mean sea level."

A couple of neat sites for those interested in river levels - present, past, and predicted - http://www2.mvr.usace.army.mil/WaterCont..., and http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/ORN/RVAORN

On the bright side - the neighbor's crabgrass doesn't seem to be doing well either, with the reduced mowings resulting in reduced clippings in the street resulting in less crabgrass proliferation in my yard. Even without a cloud in the sky to look behind, the silver lining is still there. :-)~

-- Posted by fxpwt on Sun, Jul 29, 2012, at 2:10 PM


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