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Speak Out 4/4/10

Sunday, April 4, 2010

Ray of intelligence

THANKS for carrying Gene Lyons' column on your Opinion page. It is the only ray of intelligence I have ever found there.

Insurance windfall

JUST think of all the money that the insurance companies are going to have as a result of the health care bill, and all that money will go into the stock market. The Democrats are geniuses. Ronald Reagan is out.

Tough on predators

ONCE a predator, always a predator. Putting these people in jail or prison for a few months doesn't stop the craziness. I believe they should have two choices: life in prison or chemical castration. Our children shouldn't be human prey for these sick people.

Downtown ideas

I see a lot of good things happening in Cape Girardeau: a new children's museum, a new water park, extension of the walking trails. The next thing that needs to be looked at is a pedestrian-friendly downtown with better lighting. I know that it is a remote possibility, but if the train tracks could be routed away from the riverfront it would open up a lot of new opportunities for recreation downtown.

Medicaid bill

MISSOURI owes $20.5 million to Medicaid thanks to out-of-state privatization. How many voters realize we are paying residents of other states while Missourians are unemployed?

Government aid

A majority of Americans opposed the health care bill but had it shoved down their throats by the Democratic Party. Big government has now become a much bigger intrusion in our lives. I have always tried to help others with United Way and food pantries and other donations, but now will look after my family and let the government take care of everyone else.


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Happy Easter!! ☺

-- Posted by Turnip on Sun, Apr 4, 2010, at 12:19 AM

H&D

I never want to see innocent people convicted but today that is becoming much less of a problem because of DNA and other modern investigation technology. I have little compassion for an 18 year old that has sex with a 15 year old (consensual or not) and puts her pictures on the internet. I believe he has deeper emotional issues than just anger.

On the other side of that coin Recidivism is rampant with sexual predators. Consider the following:

Recidivism: How often do Child Molesters go on to Reoffend?

Some people claim that child abusers can't be cured and invariably reoffend. Others suggest that recidivism rates are low and that sex offenders are less likely to reoffend than those who commit other types of crimes. What is the truth?

Overall, follow-up studies typically find sexual recidivism rates of 10%-15% after five years, 20% after 10 years, and 30%-40% after 20 years (see, Hanson, Morton, & Harris, 2003).

However, these numbers are conservative because not all offences are detected.

In fact, a careful review of the scientific and legal literature shows that determining true recidivism rates are next to impossible as recidivism rates only count the number of sex offenders released into the community who are caught and convicted.

The vast majority of sex offenses are never reported. For instance, the National Women's Study surveyed a representative sample of over 4,000 adult women in the United States . Three hundred forty-one (8.5%) of these women were victims of at least one rape prior to the age of 18; however, only 11.9% of these women reported the rape to authorities (Hanson et al., 1990). And it must be remembered, of the few offenses reported, an even smaller number result in convictions.

The problem with using recidivism rates to determine the rate of reoffending is readily apparent when considering the following example. If 100% of released molesters reoffended, but the rate of reporting is only 12%, and the conviction rate is half of this, than the recidivism rate would be reported as only 6%!

Prentky et al. (1997) examined recidivism rates on 115 child molesters and concluded that: (1) child molesters remain at risk to reoffend long after their discharge, in some cases 15-20 years after discharge; (2) there is a marked underestimation of recidivism rates.

Likewise, a review by the American Psychological Association (2003) concluded that "the research demonstrates that even sexual offenses against children that occurred long ago evince a continuing risk of recidivism by the offender."

Another perspective on the problem is offered by Anna Salter, one of the foremost experts on sex offenders in the country. She writes the following in her popular book Predators:

"The dry research figures only confirm what I have seen over and over in this field: there are a lot of sexual offenses out there and the people who commit them don't get caught very often. When an offender is caught and has a thorough evaluation with a polygraph backup, he will reveal dozens, sometimes hundreds of offenses he was never apprehended for. In an unpublished study by Pamela Van Wyk, 26 offenders in her incarcerated treatment program entered the program admitting an average of 3 victims each. Faced with a polygraph and the necessity of passing it to stay in the treatment program, the next group of 23 men revealed an average of 175 victims each."

References

American Psychological Association. (2003, February 19). Amicus Curiae brief submitted in Stogner.

Hanson, R. F., Resnick, H. S., Saunders, B. E., Kilpatrick, D. G., & Best, C. (1990). Factors related to the reporting of childhood rape. Child Abuse & Neglect, 23, 559-569.

-- Posted by Balmy on Sun, Apr 4, 2010, at 12:44 PM

H&D,

Any insurance company supporting the health care bill will most likely rue the day. The socialist strategy is to force th insurance companies to significantly increase their rates because of the millions of uninsured, high risk, and illegals dumped on them. Our comrades in Washington will then have an excuse that many will buy to implement the public option which has been and continues to be their number one objective.

The insurance carriers and medical providers I have spoken with relative to our family business adamantly opposed this bill. Admittedly, my point of reference here is small and confined.

-- Posted by Balmy on Sun, Apr 4, 2010, at 12:53 PM

Happy Easter everyone ☺

has anyone been down I-55 to Lambert's Cafe to eat ?

the food isn't bad and the place always seems crowded ...

the major problem i have with the place is the urinals are too high , a man has to stand on his tiptoes to use one...i don't see how they expect a child to use one of these urinals--it ain't happening!

-- Posted by ..Rick on Sun, Apr 4, 2010, at 2:40 PM

Yeah, Rick...I've been to Lambert's a few times to eat. A lil' too 'country' for my taste and I've never had any trouble with the urinals! ☻

-- Posted by Turnip on Sun, Apr 4, 2010, at 6:08 PM

When I visit Sikeston, my family likes the Chinese restaurant near Walmart in the old Ryan's building. Fantastic.

Our second choice is Jays Krispy Chicken near Sonic. Also very good.

On occasion, every couple of years, we will eat at Lambert's and it's always good.

Still China (as my four year old calls it) or Jay's are more common for us...

-- Posted by bobby62914 on Sun, Apr 4, 2010, at 6:22 PM

people who have sex with children are sick in the head...

-- Posted by ..Rick on Sun, Apr 4, 2010, at 10:17 PM

I miss 'AMERICAN DAD' and 'FUTURAMA.'

Bender, where art thou?

___

Futurama returning in June with new episodes on Comedy Central.

-- Posted by farmwife2 on Mon, Apr 5, 2010, at 2:53 PM


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