The end is in sight, but we've got two more rounds of thunderstorms this week before we finally start to dry out.
We're under a Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms for this evening and tonight, followed by another round during the day tomorrow. Thankfully the really awful storms are expected to stay to our south. The Missouri Bootheel is under a Moderate Risk while much of Arkansas faces a High Risk.
The charts from the Storm Prediction Center are pretty ominous. In the following map, we're projected to have a 30% chance of seeing high winds within 25 miles of a point. Meanwhile, a wide swath of Arkansas has a 60% chance. That's a massive probability that you don't see very often.
Of course the biggest threat is from heavy rainfall and flooding. We're still expected to see a few more inches of rain over the next 5 days, although the map isn't looking quite as scary as before. Cape Girardeau is right on the edge of the red zone for 3+ inches, while the Bootheel is in the orange region for 5+.
Since Friday, the weather station at the Cape Girardeau airport has recorded 12.58 inches of rain. Here's the breakdown:
Friday, Apr. 22 - 1.19 in.
Saturday, Apr. 23 - 3.10 in.
Sunday, Apr. 24 - 3.60 in.
Monday, Apr. 25 - 4.69 in.
The only saving grace is that the rain has been spread out over four days instead of the 13.5 inch shellacking we received in 2008 that fell in less than two days.
Over 10 inches has fallen over much of Southern Missouri, as shown by this radar estimate covering the last week:
Once the rain stops Wednesday, we should have dry weather for Thursday and Friday before yet another cold front arrives for the weekend. It appears that this is going to be a run-of-the-mill system that will be minor in comparison.