River stage: 23.4 ft. Falling
Thursday, Oct. 23, 2014
Here comes Round 8 (or Round 9? I've lost count)Posted Monday, April 25, 2011, at 4:00 PM
The rain just keeps coming. In the last week, most of Southeast Missouri has seen at least 5 inches, with Cape Girardeau picking up over 8 inches. This map shows the estimated rainfall for the last 7 days:
The Gulf of Mexico is still pumping vast quantities of water this way, putting us in line for another several inches. This map shows the projected rainfall for the next 5 days:
In the latest Flood Watch, the National Weather Service warns:
MORE RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...IS ON THE WAY. TWO ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL HIT...ONE LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT...AND THEN ANOTHER THAT WILL HIT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. 2 TO 3 INCHES COULD FALL WITH EACH ROUND OF STORMS...TOTALING FROM 3 TO 4 INCHES ON A LOW END...TO AS MUCH AS 5 OR 6 INCHES ON THE HIGH END...BY THE CONCLUSION OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY.
The Weather Service doesn't use the word "catastropic" very often, so this is serious business. Reports coming from the Poplar Bluff area are particularly dire. Here's the latest Flash Flood Warning for Butler County:
AT 130 PM CDT...THE IMMINENT FAILURE OF A LEVEE ON THE BLACK RIVER CONTINUES TO THREATEN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN THE CITY OF POPLAR BLUFF...SPECIFICALLY ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE. A LEVEE ON COUNTY ROAD 607 NEAR THE INTERSECTION WITH COUNTY ROAD 605 IS IN DANGER OF IMMINENT FAILURE. THE LEVEE IS STILL WEAKENING AND MAY FAIL AT ANY TIME.
The Black River could reach an all-time record high of 22 feet, breaking the old record of 21.7 ft. (flood stage is 16 ft.):
Meanwhile, the Ohio River is also climbing toward a record stage. Cairo, Illinois, could easily set a new record as the river is expected to crest at 60 ft. (the record is 59.5 ft.):
Of course the Mississippi River is also running high, with the river at Cape Girardeau expected to reach 44.5 ft., coming within 4 feet of the 1993 record:
If that wasn't enough, we are under a Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms for today and tomorrow. Tornado Watches are already starting to pop up to our southwest as yet another blob of storms moves this way. It appears that the worst storms will remain just to our south, but we could still see high winds and large hail.
Name that storm
In light of the historic flooding conditions, it's time to coin an appropriate name for the ongoing weather crisis. Here are some ideas:
Do you have any better suggestions? Let us know so that we can pick a moniker and crank up the hype machine!
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In this blog, weather junkies on the Southeast Missourian staff talk about (what else?) the weather. Give us your observations, folk wisdom and Farmers Almanac tales -- it's a weather free for all.