It appears our lucky streak of dodging severe weather has come to an end. Following last Friday's dent-making, leaf-shredding hailstorm, we're now in line for thunderstorms almost every day this week. Here are the probabilities for storms during the next week:
Tomorrow night: Nearly 100%
The best chance for truly nasty storms is Tuesday night. Southeast Missouri is already designated with a Moderate Risk for severe thunderstorms on Tuesday:
According to the latest forecast discussion from Paducah, "All severe weather hazards, including isolated tornadoes, very large hail, damaging wind gusts and heavy rainfall appear probably Tuesday night... Timing may need to be adjusted as we go along, but would be very surprised not to be covered with tornado watch boxes Tuesday night area wide."
The computer models are hinting at another round of severe thunderstorms Friday night and possibly again early next week. Of course, this time of year, any storm can turn severe in a heartbeat regardless of what the computer models show.
Meanwhile, we're also expected heavy rain from all of these systems. The latest projections show that we could see 4-5 inches of rain during the next five days (with more to come beyond that):