It seems hard to believe that portions of Mississippi now have over 10 inches of snow on the ground, while we have nothing. The latest snow depth map shows Cape Girardeau in a hole completely surrounded by areas with snow.
This might change tonight thanks to the next snowmaker, Winter Storm "Def Leppard". We're going to be at the extreme southern edge of the storm, but we could still see some white stuff.
The forecasters at the National Weather Service are unusually confident. Here is their forecast for Cape Girardeau:
TODAY: CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND 2 INCHES. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
TUESDAY: CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
It's odd for them to give a precise accumulation total instead of something vague like "1-3 inches" or "Minor accumulations possible."
Despite the confidence, it's possible that Cape may only get a dusting. The computer models project a sharp cutoff between areas that get 2+ inches and areas that get squat. Naturally, Cape is right on that line. If that line shifts north a few miles -- entirely possible -- then we won't see much of anything. It could also shift south, giving us 3+ inches.
Here is the NAM computer model projection from Earl's Model Page:
Taken together, here is the Dartboard Forecast: