The latest forecast for Winter Storm "Beatles" now suggests that much of precipitation will fall as rain -- liquid rain. Sleet and then freezing rain is expected to arrive tomorrow, but temperatures will continue to climb overnight, allowing any accumulated ice to start melting early Thursday morning.
We're now under a Winter Weather Advisory. The bulletin states (emphasis added):
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 9 AM CST THURSDAY.
* TIMING...VERY LIGHT PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BEGIN BREAKING OUT ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WESTERN KENTUCKY AROUND MIDDAY ON WEDNESDAY...WHILE GRADUALLY EXPANDING NORTHEASTWARD. THE STEADIER PRECIPITATION AND MOST OF THE ICE ACCUMULATION WILL NOT OCCUR UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT. FREEZING RAIN WILL THEN CHANGE TO RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. THE TRANSITION WILL REACH A CAPE GIRARDEAU TO PADUCAH KENTUCKY LINE AROUND MIDNIGHT. ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN COME TO AN END EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* MAIN IMPACT...UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED ON COLDER SURFACES MAINLY EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS TO THE WEST.
* OTHER IMPACTS...EVEN LIGHT AMOUNTS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ALONG UNTREATED ROADWAYS. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING WEDNESDAY EVENING THOUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE NO IMPACT TO TREES AND POWERLINES IS EXPECTED.
Central Kentucky and Southern Indiana could see a serious ice storm with over a quarter-inch of accumulation. For us, however, Winter Storm "Beatles" now looks like a non-event -- unless, of course, the computer models are just plain wrong, which wouldn't be the first time.
The dartboard projection from this morning is basically intact as "More bark than bite" or "We get squat" remain as the leading contenders: