"You know it's kind of funny. The only things that survived the storm were the family tombstones... They're all we have left." -- Ned Flanders after surviving a freak hurricane
The forecast for next week looks uglier and uglier. It first appeared Winter Storm "Flanders" would be a nice snowstorm, but now the computer models are leaning toward yet another Winter Mix Surprise(tm), which we've seen numerous times during the last two winters. Just about every form of precipitation is possible (except maybe hailstones) according to the latest National Weather Service forecast for Cape Girardeau:
Monday: A slight chance of snow and sleet before noon, then a slight chance of rain and sleet. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday Night: Freezing rain and sleet likely. Cloudy, with a low around 26. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday: Rain, freezing rain, and sleet likely. Cloudy, with a high near 34.
Tuesday Night: A chance of freezing rain and sleet. Cloudy, with a low around 26.
Wednesday: A slight chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41.
Wednesday Night: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Thursday: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44.
The computer models project that we could see a quarter-to-a-half-inch of precipitation on Monday and Tuesday, which would be enough for a major ice storm, but nothing like last year's disaster. If this all came as snow -- not very likely, but it's fun to make wild guesses -- then that would probably be enough for 4-6 inches of snow.
With this in mind, here's the updated Dartboard Forecast Model: