The chance of having a White Christmas is starting to look a little better than usual. Here's an excerpt from the latest Hazardous Weather Outlook from the National Weather Service:
A CHANCE OF A WINTRY PRECIPITATION MIX IS FORECAST FOR TUESDAY... TUESDAY NIGHT...AND PART OF WEDNESDAY. WITH ANOTHER ARCTIC AIRMASS IN PLACE AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM AT THE SURFACE...SOME ICE OR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR POSSIBLE.
With cold weather firmly in place next week, any snow that falls Tuesday or Wednesday should remain on the ground for Christmas Day.
As Jason Lindsey explained earlier, a "White Christmas" is officially defined as one with at least an inch of snow on the ground at 6 AM. That's a distinct possibility with the current forecast.
According to this historical map, the Cape Girardeau area has, on average, a 5-10 percent chance of meeting that definition each year, with slightly better chances just to the north and west.
Personally, I'd call it a "White Christmas" if there's any white stuff on the ground or in the air at any point during the day. That would improve the odds slightly.
It's too early to make any dartboard forecasts for our next weathermaker, "Winter Storm Bart", but it does look promising.